POLICY VALUE OF NUCLEAR FORENSICS FOR DETERRENCE

This is a preliminary study of the policy value of a state’s nuclear forensics capabilities and its effects on a state’s decision to transfer weapons. While the United States focuses most of its forensics capabilities on deterrence efforts, it is important to also discuss the use of forensics for criminal prosecution as in the European Union. This study uses both game theory and qualitative methods to examine the possible actions of weapons states and non-state actors