Global Transformational Events And Nuclear Security The Threat From Sub-state Entities

The objective of the joint LANL (Los Alamos National Laboratory)-SNL (Sandia National Laboratories) transformational events study is to analyze threats, including insider threat, posed by domestic and international sub-state entities intent on theft or sabotage of states’ nuclear material, facilities, or operations—concurrent with significant geopolitical change or a triggering global transformational event, i.e., a “black swan.” The study analyzes global transformational events ontologically by identifying the event properties and understanding how these properties are interrelated through definition of a set of categories and concepts that represent the overall subject area. The study examines these properties, providing insight into how the event might affect the nuclear security threat environment and what mitigation or prevention strategies could be advanced by relevant stakeholders.LA-UR-21-21606